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[CS.AI] IMR: Iterative Mode-World Weighted Regression for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction

Published at: 2026-07-09 22:00 Last updated: 2026-07-10 03:15
#AI #Machine Learning #optimization

Abstract

Multi-agent motion prediction is essential for automated vehicles to understand the intentions of surrounding vehicles. However, previous prediction-based and anchor-based methods have limitations in mode diversity and prediction accuracy, respectively. These limitations may cause inadequate safety assessments and behavioral deviations in automated vehicles.

To address this issue, a mode-world weighted regression loss is proposed to bridge the gap between these features. Specifically, this approach mitigates mode collapse while simultaneously improving world ranking and top-1 confidence. Furthermore, the proposed iterative decoder improves prediction accuracy by recurrently and segmentally generating trajectories.

Experimental results show the proposed method ranks first in the Argoverse 2 multi-agent motion forecasting benchmark against other methods.

Blogger's Review: This study effectively enhances the accuracy and diversity of multi-agent trajectory prediction through innovative weighted regression loss and iterative decoders, providing new insights for safety in the autonomous driving sector. Future research could explore the complexity of more agent behaviors and how to maintain efficient predictive capabilities in dynamic environments.

Original Source: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.05705

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