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[CS.AI] Comparison of Reservoir-Triggered Seismicity and Deep Tectonic Locking

Published at: 2026-07-24 22:00 Last updated: 2026-07-26 07:44
#Seismicity #Tectonic #Reservoir

Abstract

Identifying the critical state of mature seismic gaps is challenging, especially when anthropogenic stress perturbations, such as reservoir impoundment, superimpose on tectonic loading. Here, utilizing a high-resolution dense array catalog from the Qiaojia-Dongchuan seismic gap (hosting the second-largest hydropower station in the world), we reveal a distinct vertical decoupling mechanism.

The shallow activities exhibit high b-values (1.0), indicative of fluid-driven reservoir-triggered seismicity. Conversely, deep seismicity (20 km) outlines a 'locked asperity' characterized by low b-values (less than 0.8) and high Coulomb stress accumulation rate. We further identify a complex dipping structure, suggesting compound fault kinematics.

Additionally, the calculated stress accumulation suggests this seismic gap is in a critical state with elevated rupture potential. Our findings indicate that shallow induced seismicity can mask the silent accumulation of deep tectonic strain. This decoupling model provides a new framework for assessing seismic risks in reservoir-fault systems globally.

Blogger's Review: This study reveals the complex relationship between reservoir-induced seismicity and deep tectonic locking, offering a new perspective for seismic risk assessment. Through high-resolution monitoring data, the researchers successfully demonstrate the multi-layered characteristics of seismic activities, which is significant for understanding the interplay between human activities and natural earthquakes.

Original Source: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.19606

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